According to the Washington Post, the odds for the Packers to make the playoffs, are 750-1.
For those who are honest citizens, those odds are not great. It’s a long shot, as we know, and the Packers will essentially have to win out.
They have pending matchups at Cleveland, at Carolina, home against Minnesota, and at Detroit. With 3 of the final 4 on the road, Packers fans are really holding onto hope that the messiah, Aaron Rodgers, will fully heal in time for Carolina.
Their win probability for the final four match ups are as follows: 84% chance to win against the Browns, 30% against the Panthers, 26% against the Vikings, and 40% against the Lions.
It’s easy to look forward towards the Carolina game because that’s the potential window in which Aaron Rodgers comes back, but the Packers have to be careful not to fall into a trap game against the Browns. The Browns haven’t won all year and they’ll be desperate for a win.
Even with four wins the Packers need help, too. A 10-6 record likely won’t win the NFC North — the Vikings are 10-2 with the 14th easiest schedule heading into Week 13. This requiring Green Bay to grab hold of one of the two wild-card spots currently held by the 8-4 Panthers and 8-4 Seattle Seahawks along with the tie breakers against Atlanta Falcons Detroit, Carolina and Seattle.
|Minnesota Vikings (1)||10-2||North Champion|
|Philadelphia Eagles (2)||10-2||East Champion|
|Los Angeles Rams (3)||9-3||West Champion|
|New Orleans Saints (4)||9-3||South Champion|
|Seattle Seahawks (5)||8-4||Wild Card #1|
|Carolina Panthers (6)||8-4||Wild Card #2|
|Green Bay Packers||6-6|